South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b2b59578dd0778312cfb6222317adb05525ab4d802bf729a686615dad87a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 53c | 12,692$6,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.75 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…3497backed Over | 22c | 6,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 4,268$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.1 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…b48bbacked Over | 27c | 3,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacda…894cbacked Over | 28c | 3,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,385$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.76 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +288.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 33c | 1,214$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 49c | 787.92$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.22 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 712.83$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.06 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 8c | 286.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 265.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Under | 79c | 253.01$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 75c | 192.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 28c | 109.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 58c | 105.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 64c | 92.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…8c73backed Under | 70c | 64.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 56c | 59.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 42c | 56.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 32c | 45.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 57c | 44.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 41c | 41.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 59c | 38.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 42c | 37.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 37.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 42c | 29.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…1597backed Under | 79c | 28.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 59c | 27.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Under | 47c | 27.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 25.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 24.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 48c | 24.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 56c | 20.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 78c | 13.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Lanús won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.