TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,588 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c3,694$1,283 inLost-$1,283.088,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over65c3,044$1,989 inWon+$1,054.532,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb54c…500abacked Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon+$449.422147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,217$17 inLost-$16.526624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under1c1,111$11 inLost-$11.116647%31 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under17c998.51$171 inLost-$17111220.5%23 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under8c360$29 inLost-$28.818426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c269.19$101 inLost-$101.355,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under39c258.41$101 inLost-$100.7812850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over62c220.71$137 inWon+$83.873360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over68c161.76$110 inWon+$51.7676951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Over60c160$96 inWon+$64425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under39c124.41$49 inLost-$48.5255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under38c111.58$43 inLost-$42.5195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under41c100$41 inLost-$4115554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under37c70.31$26 inLost-$26.3114753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under15c69$10 inLost-$10.3519711.2%22 W · 175 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under37c46.87$18 inLost-$17.5469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9583…fa5dbacked Over61c42.62$26 inWon+$16.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over78c38.46$30 inWon+$8.462466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under40c29.44$12 inLost-$11.8246449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce6…f421backed Over68c26.97$18 inWon+$8.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b11dbacked Over57c20$11 inWon+$8.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.