South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd559c1b4ac7e918a6d867c4ed1873f94f01ad3af3f7d1baf74316bcf335cf55c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 6,396$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.1 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 3,496$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.46 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 2,994$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.69 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 37c | 727$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 61c | 651.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.14 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yes | 37c | 539.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 61c | 473.43$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 64c | 398.5$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 199.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 15c | 137.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 64c | 135.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 37c | 119.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 36c | 96.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 64c | 92.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 38c | 58.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 64c | 48.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 63c | 43.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x530b…eb80backed Yes | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 79c | 32.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed No | 64c | 24.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 76c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 62c | 17.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Lanús won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.