Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AC Horsens win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x329ae9fd448081e8f24fda473ed8391d2bcc4b2bd6350634050e6cf09a3b4eb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 22c | 6,816$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.51 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 2,607$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.34 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 20c | 1,981$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 78c | 1,333$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 75c | 1,065$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.56 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 651.03$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 8c | 300.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 7c | 286.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 9c | 277.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 251.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 195$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 79c | 173.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 78c | 155.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…9c8cbacked Yes | 7c | 150.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 11c | 123.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 24c | 108$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…e01bbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 78c | 85.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 25c | 72.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 17c | 72.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 79c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Horsens win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.