Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5ce9570fb67774124d1a9628b3970b5b25f6a0b7683b227d753c5c9fa1556d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 5,782$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 3,756$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.67 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 70c | 2,391$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.35 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 2,170$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.04 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,875$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.06 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 989.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 53c | 645.69$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.72 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 41c | 514.03$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.75 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 20c | 502.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 37c | 354.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.13 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 277.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.65 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 39c | 258$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 37c | 241.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 17c | 237.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.43 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 171.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 18c | 159.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 41c | 118.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 34c | 110.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b8…4df0backed Yes | 34c | 104.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 73c | 101.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 43c | 89.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked No | 67c | 85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 81.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…52e3backed Yes | 26c | 75.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 78c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2153backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 51c | 48.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 34c | 45.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 73c | 42.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 54c | 38.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…4363backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 74c | 29.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…0fa0backed Yes | 51c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed No | 67c | 26.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…e1c8backed Yes | 60c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…8794backed No | 74c | 20.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed No | 67c | 16.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Horsens win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.