South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5b78031ca19e653407c0cb42565f832ceba667b96fafca0a962302c640787a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 20,362$12,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,436.94 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 17,626$7,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,114.44 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 11,392$6,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,259.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 6,382$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 46c | 6,075$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.72 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 2c | 3,567$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…59b3backed Under | 60c | 3,231$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Over | 32c | 2,374$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.94 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 41c | 1,485$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 2c | 892.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 54c | 806.3$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 748.8$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.59 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 740.04$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 38c | 713.51$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Under | 31c | 570$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 47c | 477.27$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 72c | 424.53$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Over | 40c | 402.63$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 72c | 336.94$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 63c | 315.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 8c | 299.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 25c | 294.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 39c | 275.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.26 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 52c | 229.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 68c | 200.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 50c | 192.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…1e6ebacked Over | 27c | 167.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 32c | 165.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 150.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 70c | 126.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 75c | 114.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 35c | 113.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 61c | 112.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 58c | 109.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 108.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…0a63backed Under | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 69c | 89.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 35c | 85.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 78.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 71.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 65c | 64.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 69c | 63.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 30c | 60.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 54c | 50.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 29c | 49.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 59c | 45.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 47c | 42.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Under | 49c | 40.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 51c | 38.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 53c | 38.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 62c | 38.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 50c | 37.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 67c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 62c | 29.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…96d8backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 45c | 27.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 27.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Under | 58c | 27.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Under | 60c | 24.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Coritiba FBC O/U 0.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.