South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4486625c64f6d030a22759555cb56786b1e46fa7a30742d1a7a008fb51903554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 11,571$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…92d2backed Over | 76c | 9,073$6,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 1,560$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.17 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 73c | 1,469$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.37 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 9c | 1,078$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Under | 9c | 461.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 74 | 10.8%8 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 66c | 446.01$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 412.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 25c | 385.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 25c | 362.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 25c | 281.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 65c | 228.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 35c | 111.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 99.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 66c | 90.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 76c | 84.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Over | 76c | 65.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 75c | 34.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 30c | 34.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 62c | 26.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Coritiba FBC O/U 0.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.