South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb04988fd68bd086e0744d880e358ca8bd1a9949ffe9021f933f42b0728cec920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 58c | 13,804$8,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,797.5 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 79c | 10,468$8,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.88 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 42c | 10,423$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377.66 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 27c | 9,918$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.64 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 9,510$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.37 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 32c | 9,284$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.13 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 5,969$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 42c | 4,048$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Under | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 2,525$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 1,241$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.42 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 58c | 1,095$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.86 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 762.14$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.1 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 74c | 749.46$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.61 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 465$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 69c | 345.32$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 345.28$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 28c | 322.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 58c | 201.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 196.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 58c | 161.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under | 71c | 140.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Over | 42c | 122.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 99.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 56c | 87.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 59c | 81.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 62c | 69.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 44c | 68.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 59c | 58.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 57.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 42c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Over | 42c | 45.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 57c | 45.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 56c | 36.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…4ac7backed Under | 56c | 33.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 42c | 31.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 59c | 30.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 55c | 27.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 76c | 25.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 76c | 24.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 59c | 20.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 70c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 70c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Coritiba FBC O/U 0.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.