Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4050f12d99cbc394c54fbd3d20f2a51721d29e3da29053fd9fd6c83ef95c6767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 58c | 1,726$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.86 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 47c | 1,288$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.36 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,131$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 1,057$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 44c | 425.53$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 43c | 371.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 225.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 43c | 170$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 155.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 141.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 104.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 60c | 99.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 52c | 98.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 15c | 88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 37c | 80.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 64c | 69.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 63c | 63.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 48c | 60.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0bd8backed Over | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 51c | 47.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 34c | 39.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 52c | 22.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5this page
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Kristiansund BK O/U 0.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Kristiansund BK won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-2.5)Kristiansund BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.