Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa842e57b9d8167f4cf5647750111afda9668d61f8f40de138a7237b32d55fef9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 7,062$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.31 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 31c | 4,069$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.67 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 3,838$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 3,489$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.26 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 2,182$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.85 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 1,545$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.67 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f44…e1f9backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 37c | 276.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.86 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 251.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.02 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 54c | 169.44$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 64c | 158.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 35c | 154.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 154.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…40debacked No | 65c | 147.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 17c | 132.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 68c | 128$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 34c | 119.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 36c | 115.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 36c | 97.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 90.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed No | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 33c | 74.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 63c | 73.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 35c | 58.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 27c | 51.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 51.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 48.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 36c | 41.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 32c | 34.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed No | 35c | 33.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…082ebacked Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 62c | 16.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Kristiansund BK O/U 0.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Kristiansund BK won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-2.5)Kristiansund BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.