South American Leagues · resolved market
Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae45a8337385a039790eda2cf584e0487726c1235385ab2ee7c488ebaca66f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 3,562$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +370.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 12c | 2,619$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.39 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 27c | 2,244$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.23 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 40c | 1,870$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.33 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 67c | 734.57$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 50c | 673.74$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.87 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 20c | 568.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 53c | 377.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.45 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 76c | 259.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 12c | 247.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 138.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 76c | 118.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 67c | 73.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 27c | 52.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 80c | 45.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 62c | 35.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 66c | 22.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 62c | 20.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Over | 62c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 78c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Over | 78c | 13.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5this page
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: Clube do Remo O/U 0.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: Clube do Remo O/U 2.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 0.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.