Mls · resolved market
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c6d97458f6179cd179e7930b823f915f6d214eb06ed652988deb140de9fcafe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 19c | 6,795$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.61 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Under | 46c | 5,555$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.3 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 11c | 4,279$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.72 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 21c | 2,550$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.52 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 1,996$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.24 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…0171backed Under | 58c | 1,383$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 45c | 1,318$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.65 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 15c | 1,193$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 1,180$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.46 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 16c | 1,118$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 55c | 796.08$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 764.03$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.66 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Under | 54c | 744.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 14c | 506.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Under | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 5c | 485.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 50c | 400.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 80c | 366.93$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 13c | 362.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 24c | 322.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 22c | 281$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 17c | 265.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 260$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 46c | 256.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 235.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 227.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 45c | 212.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 74c | 210$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 34c | 179.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 54c | 158$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 55c | 151.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…b109backed Over | 76c | 149.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 70cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 62c | 141.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Under | 27c | 128$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 12c | 128$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 41c | 127.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 78c | 127$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 12c | 126.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 116.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 28c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 48c | 103.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 66c | 100.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 67c | 99.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 78c | 96.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 42c | 91.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 55c | 78.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 25c | 70.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 68.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 45c | 66.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 55c | 63.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 21c | 62.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 80c | 61.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 54c | 59.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 62c | 59.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 57c | 53.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 63c | 47.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 63c | 47.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 46.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…b92dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 43c | 40.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…9ddbbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 65c | 32.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 61c | 22.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…97cebacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Over | 56c | 19.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 63c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Austin FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Austin FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Austin FC (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.