TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,227 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over13c751.63$98 inLost-$97.711,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under69c295.96$203 inWon+$92.917751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under77c212.06$163 inWon+$48.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over22c176.17$39 inLost-$38.943636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under79c123$97 inWon+$25.6191553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under78c121$94 inWon+$26.6568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under78c120$94 inWon+$26.455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over13c100$13 inLost-$1310612.3%13 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under43c64.46$28 inWon+$36.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over18c61.13$11 inLost-$114829.2%14 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Over20c50$10 inLost-$102352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Under80c35$28 inWon+$7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbac…6b32backed Under44c32.27$14 inWon+$18.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.