Mls · resolved market
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea7fc4a147875e42331e882c9a391b134efdf33cb5d75cb2dfd880fe3992a642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Under | 0c | 55,255$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 60c | 6,007$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.49 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Over | 35c | 4,945$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.93 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 4,855$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.88 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 27c | 4,823$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.11 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.97 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 26c | 2,888$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.12 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Over | 61c | 2,142$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 47c | 1,681$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.82 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 1,601$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.33 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 1,573$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.91 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 24c | 1,329$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.45 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 46c | 651.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 33c | 559.73$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.02 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 508$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 49c | 506.8$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 65c | 484.86$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 467.78$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.32 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 406.18$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.14 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 47c | 398.37$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.13 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 44c | 340$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 59c | 337.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 74c | 309.98$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 44c | 283.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 61c | 261.28$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 78c | 257.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 245.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 43c | 242.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 50c | 236$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…85fbbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 47c | 183.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 177.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 40c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 26c | 138.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 49c | 113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 34c | 108.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 44c | 104.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 89.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…d3fabacked Over | 64c | 87.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 25c | 81.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 38c | 75.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…275abacked Under | 58c | 74.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 34c | 71.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…c5efbacked Over | 22c | 69.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 49c | 68.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 67c | 67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 39c | 66.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 27c | 53.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 67c | 52.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Under | 35c | 41.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 66c | 37.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 38c | 34.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 66c | 26.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 45c | 25.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…2f9bbacked Under | 60c | 24.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 65c | 24.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…2ef1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Over | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Austin FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Austin FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Austin FC (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.