TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,369 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes45c13,251$6,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,013.459726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked No49c12,064$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,163.651735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes48c7,686$3,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.9498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No49c5,208$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.8787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No50c4,460$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.1399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c3,796$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.143,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c3,026$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.6470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No76c2,210$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.155068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes44c2,169$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.7835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes40c2,077$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.8636646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes48c2,046$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes41c1,866$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.7644447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No43c1,847$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked No63c1,710$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No50c1,587$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.0911633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes28c1,443$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.0835550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes19c1,434$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.892846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked No46c1,396$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes42c1,339$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5606341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Yes52c1,251$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked No72c827.63$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.632065%13 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes27c810.98$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6332848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No73c800.49$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0814652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No47c768.39$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.0413228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c748.34$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes34c723.29$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.431,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…5af9backed Yes39c688$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes46c647.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked No48c612.52$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No60c592$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8710840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed No44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Yes48c518.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed No49c475.17$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No57c438.59$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5911454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes33c435.55$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.225440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No67c435$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.911,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c419.58$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…84e1backed Yes47c410$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No42c402.15$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.25837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes5c370$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a1d…3fa1backed Yes53c362.74$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Yes48c356.8$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No49c348$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.484955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c332.32$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No68c302.38$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.717244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed No49c298.63$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.32548%12 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No74c269.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.26346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes49c258.51$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.797757.1%44 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No58c248.29$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2616657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes45c208.07$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6313952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes30c206.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No70c198.3$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2980249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No62c195.73$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.384566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c177$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.081,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes20c146.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0330735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Yes23c142.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes51c142$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4218456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes46c142$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2812667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No63c132.05$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3723953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes11c131.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Yes25c128.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.727038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c123.8$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.431,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes51c120.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3312058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0430444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No48c118.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9912650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d5d2backed Yes51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes50c114.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No60c108$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes51c106.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0516437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec43…885abacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe37c…ef29backed Yes54c103.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed No52c101.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.928144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed No49c101$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.512661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes29c96.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.644531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdd2…4f62backed No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342050%10 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes38c87.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked No52c86.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.543548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No48c84.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.063542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed No49c83.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed No72c82.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.762360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No49c75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.259747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c74.46$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8349…55d7backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes48c73.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1912356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x796d…c6dfbacked Yes50c72.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No79c68.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3544350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No69c66.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.555552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a58…ad0dbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No48c64.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.116453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes33c60.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No72c59.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6513259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.