CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca2873dedf942b3f7ec03ecd630ca02b9a2eb599a703d4066698206314dac915
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof Fake do Biru, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3f8…d904backed Fake do Biru | 0c | 13,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed 9z | 46c | 3,310$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Fake do Biru | 59c | 2,426$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.28 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed 9z | 59c | 1,896$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.68 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed 9z | 58c | 1,232$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.09 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Fake do Biru | 28c | 1,187$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.09 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fake do Biru | 3c | 948$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…8f73backed Fake do Biru | 9c | 655.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…c803backed Fake do Biru | 46c | 622.78$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 9z | 57c | 532.37$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed 9z | 14c | 384.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.96 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 9z | 39c | 335$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Fake do Biru | 49c | 324$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Fake do Biru | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +220.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 44c | 265.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 9z | 20c | 250$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Fake do Biru | 34c | 247.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…6c62backed Fake do Biru | 66c | 234.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed 9z | 42c | 230.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked 9z | 38c | 211.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.66 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed 9z | 44c | 207.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked 9z | 50c | 201.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fake do Biru | 48c | 200.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Fake do Biru | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Fake do Biru | 75c | 137.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed 9z | 31c | 105$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Fake do Biru | 57c | 88.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…20d2backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed 9z | 60c | 66.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…e373backed Fake do Biru | 39c | 52.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Fake do Biru | 48c | 49.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 9z | 32c | 46.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…7d3fbacked Fake do Biru | 46c | 32.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Fake do Biru | 58c | 29.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…cce4backed 9z | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fake do Biru | 49c | 24.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Fake do Biru | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…b790backed Fake do Biru | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage9z won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.