Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabd1b3e7690b29bd91fb618217d946cd06ae4b278641dd66f2b2e2c2fbc15245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 2,254$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.59 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 70c | 1,432$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.82 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 1,364$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 72c | 999.7$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.78 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 951$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 799.12$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.37 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 797$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.84 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 660$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 599.14$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 29c | 481.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.67 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 6c | 449.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 73c | 380$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 72c | 380$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 47c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 29c | 150.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 58c | 101.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 77c | 98.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 85.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 61c | 85.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 78.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 63c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 28c | 38.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed No | 72c | 19.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.