Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3adb43543671a1b0a918e8098982306b6e84dd10f7da2e102f98d159e33c5c4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 10,358$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794.52 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 49c | 6,072$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.22 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 57c | 5,323$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.18 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 3,601$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 47c | 3,071$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.59 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 51c | 2,324$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.03 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 1,757$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.26 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 49c | 1,273$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.79 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 50c | 662.36$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.18 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 638.93$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 45c | 525.53$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed No | 55c | 395.71$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 322.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 46c | 290$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.66 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 50c | 278.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 11c | 185.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked No | 52c | 179.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 33c | 170.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 149$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 69c | 149$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 57c | 101.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 45c | 78.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 69c | 60.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 30c | 47.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 44.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 75c | 40.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 33c | 40.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yes | 50c | 36.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Yes | 31c | 32.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 29.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 54c | 21.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.