Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FRG vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51d8cda2cac5fc6837541deae3bb65c44027baabae4b268b8c3728bfac251b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Formulation Gamingof FRG, Formulation Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Formulation Gaming | 75c | 11,305$8,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.63 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed FRG | 49c | 8,273$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.28 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FRG | 0c | 4,399$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…4b3fbacked Formulation Gaming | 51c | 1,193$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Formulation Gaming | 54c | 738.01$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.49 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed FRG | 33c | 729.64$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.78 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Formulation Gaming | 49c | 656.48$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Formulation Gaming | 77c | 527.02$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FRG | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed FRG | 50c | 495$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…961abacked Formulation Gaming | 50c | 490.9$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Formulation Gaming | 52c | 466.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…9c02backed FRG | 33c | 429.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Formulation Gaming | 55c | 364$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FRG | 37c | 309.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Formulation Gaming | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Formulation Gaming | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Formulation Gaming | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed FRG | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed FRG | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…7513backed Formulation Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Formulation Gaming | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Formulation Gaming | 69c | 87.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Formulation Gaming | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Formulation Gaming | 54c | 46.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…88aebacked Formulation Gaming | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Formulation Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Formulation Gaming | 50c | 23.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…3036backed Formulation Gaming | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Formulation Gaming | 62c | 19.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…0e3cbacked Formulation Gaming | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FRG vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Bthis page
- Valorant: FRG vs Formulation Gaming - Map 1 WinnerFormulation Gaming won
- Valorant: FRG vs Formulation Gaming - Map 2 WinnerFormulation Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.