South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14079da89487690f7afa1988b314ce3a997c7d829187d645221e4e77c5a7f165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 4,668$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.63 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,670$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 2,050$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.12 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 39c | 1,686$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,269$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.51 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 1,054$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.67 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 998.27$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…8cf2backed Yes | 38c | 958.76$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 64c | 741.71$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.99 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 699.58$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.85 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Yes | 38c | 605.26$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 35c | 571.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 26c | 415.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 38c | 381.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 62c | 371.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 37c | 346$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…6e2ebacked Yes | 37c | 337.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 38c | 315.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 62c | 293.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…e478backed Yes | 24c | 282.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 212.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 62c | 161.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 62c | 131.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 116.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 36c | 112.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 62c | 109.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…dce1backed Yes | 38c | 94.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes | 36c | 83.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc53…5ce3backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…2c38backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…d6a6backed Yes | 38c | 79.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 67.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1373…a44dbacked Yes | 38c | 66.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 62.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 31c | 54.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…e00bbacked Yes | 37c | 54.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…5278backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 33c | 50.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…db0cbacked Yes | 38c | 42.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Yes | 35c | 41.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 32c | 37.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 36.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 31.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.