South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x024fdb6cbe222606dcdda0c96eb38bc928849f0babc739cc0b6530f7ef7fdc23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 66c | 4,197$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.91 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 3,287$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 2,200$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.71 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,775$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 30c | 1,397$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.44 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,044$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 66c | 859.09$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.09 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 848.64$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.81 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 63c | 790.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 35c | 548$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 54c | 524$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.96 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 66c | 516$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 35c | 495.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 477.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 36c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…744abacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 39.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 39c | 32.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 53c | 29.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…1f3bbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.