South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd579f9be3c84fbff75260a8357f9f2da77d4f07c141760804c5a0080e1e7da40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 3,086$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.52 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 71c | 2,274$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 72c | 1,553$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.16 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 1,157$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.33 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 935.33$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 28c | 847.01$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.85 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 630.17$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.81 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 535.92$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed No | 76c | 364.22$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 338.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked No | 71c | 209.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 77c | 181.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 22c | 161.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 71c | 101.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 99.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 75c | 69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 62.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…5442backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 72c | 16.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.