Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4266aee7b61ab90bb05a2c9e05fcc3f3aa275ca139804ee94a15e921b4fb6ab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 11c | 887.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 22c | 428.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 314.72$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…626abacked Under | 23c | 277.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +178%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 72c | 210.28$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 188.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 165.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 67c | 101.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 33c | 65.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 57.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 47.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 32c | 40.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 66c | 39.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 76c | 38.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…7243backed Over | 72c | 26.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Over | 75c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.