TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Shabab Saudi Clubof Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club, Al Shabab Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,252 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c83…6f40backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club47c817.91$387 inLost-$387.3711241.1%46 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Shabab Saudi Club53c509.95$271 inWon+$238.645,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Al Shabab Saudi Club52c317.58$167 inWon+$150.9296846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Al Shabab Saudi Club80c217.33$173 inWon+$44.22,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club32c150.02$48 inLost-$47.9621830.7%67 W · 151 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x449f…f386backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club11c132.32$15 inLost-$14.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Shabab Saudi Club59c131.95$78 inWon+$53.551,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club61c95.36$59 inWon+$36.743661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club77c82.1$64 inWon+$18.5514149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club74c66.27$49 inWon+$17.0421367.6%144 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Al Shabab Saudi Club64c54.64$35 inWon+$19.475151%26 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club32c53.32$17 inLost-$17.014452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club34c48.41$16 inLost-$16.282,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club38c39.41$15 inLost-$15.161,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club49c31.42$15 inLost-$15.371040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club64c30.65$20 inLost-$19.576848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club41c29.63$12 inLost-$12.066440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club59c24.67$15 inWon+$10.041573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Al Shabab Saudi Club71c20.63$15 inWon+$5.981283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club60c19.94$12 inWon+$8.0623052.6%121 W · 109 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club77c14.79$11 inWon+$3.41,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Al Shabab Saudi Club70c14.42$10 inWon+$4.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.