Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb8a402403048dd2188aba60634af20af4db9e2209ae02b7e7479f7b6d875f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 73c | 3,399$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.39 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 3,177$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.91 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 69c | 1,489$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.1 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 1,486$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.01 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 656.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.26 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 44c | 426.09$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 71c | 339.14$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 6c | 333.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 76c | 310.56$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 74c | 213.61$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 52c | 145.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 29c | 141.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 63c | 108.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 99.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 19c | 91.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 77.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 69c | 77.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 33c | 75.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 73c | 72.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 20c | 70.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 77c | 61.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 33c | 60.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Under | 36c | 59.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 80c | 55.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 55.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 53.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…7243backed Over | 51c | 36.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed Over | 75c | 32.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 46c | 23.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 52c | 23.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 19.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Over | 73c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.