Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59df74017d67a4fe758a7d57ab54829ee35a741c7ac2da842a0e8ec52650bd6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 2,464$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.09 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,028$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.6 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 1,023$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 1,012$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.51 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed No | 46c | 850.5$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 53c | 347.42$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 315.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 226.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 177.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 36c | 162.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 55c | 97.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 55c | 77.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 69.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 62c | 40.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Yes | 68c | 37.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 35c | 35.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 62c | 33.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 62c | 32.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 62cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.