Euroleague · resolved market
Olympiacos B.C. vs. FC Bayern Munchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1cf29b8d670b65161d17068deda0589175cb87b51d0ab95aeb6367e2c0d3ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Olympiacos B.C., FC Bayern Munchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 12c | 10,096$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.08 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 14c | 9,608$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.64 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Bayern Munchen | 14c | 7,819$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.07 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed FC Bayern Munchen | 15c | 6,863$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.69 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 19c | 4,307$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 14c | 3,570$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.87 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 13c | 2,370$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.93 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed FC Bayern Munchen | 15c | 1,903$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed FC Bayern Munchen | 13c | 1,725$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed FC Bayern Munchen | 21c | 1,722$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.34 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 16c | 1,415$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.38 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed FC Bayern Munchen | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 16c | 604$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed FC Bayern Munchen | 14c | 547.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…a506backed FC Bayern Munchen | 18c | 414$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 17c | 305$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 15c | 285$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed FC Bayern Munchen | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 13c | 155$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 16c | 152$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Olympiacos B.C. | 70c | 143.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Olympiacos B.C. | 69c | 136.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…12fcbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 121.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed FC Bayern Munchen | 16c | 116$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed FC Bayern Munchen | 15c | 101.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed FC Bayern Munchen | 14c | 81.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.