Earnings · resolved market
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b49db9417c3275700691123dae474dd4183f02ae2bd5e1fd088a883e0d12ac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x681b…e691backed No | 0c | 7,070$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed No | 11c | 2,300$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed No | 7c | 1,374$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…70a6backed No | 9c | 770.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +170%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed No | 15c | 679.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 10c | 617.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…709ebacked No | 8c | 535.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 8c | 516.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed No | 13c | 421.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 9c | 419.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 12c | 376.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…4210backed No | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 344.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…8c81backed No | 6c | 336.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce14…cdf2backed No | 9c | 330.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 10c | 320$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 11c | 305.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 13c | 302.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 299$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…215ebacked No | 13c | 272.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked No | 8c | 253.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 10c | 247.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed No | 8c | 230.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…ccb8backed No | 9c | 222.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 6c | 208.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed No | 12c | 208.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed No | 12c | 207.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 15c | 204.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked No | 12c | 201.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…6433backed No | 9c | 189.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7573…3f9cbacked No | 14c | 185.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 6c | 181.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 8c | 180.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5371…83ccbacked No | 8c | 175.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…07b6backed No | 12c | 164.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 11c | 155.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc3…2a77backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…bfa8backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…2969backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…afdbbacked No | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 8c | 144.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…290abacked No | 11c | 111.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…9447backed No | 14c | 110.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…ec23backed No | 14c | 107.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27af…6ec8backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…640fbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f8…cb7bbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…30f2backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed No | 11c | 93.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed No | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…6167backed No | 18c | 55.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.