Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af4e07be123b3f1a5329b4234e4053a31978e983bd8f8860c27e732548590d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 77c | 27,730$21,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.92 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 16,635$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 3,629$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 2,956$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.49 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,207$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.93 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 14c | 1,352$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 23c | 1,121$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…a431backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 73c | 960$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 836.82$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 350.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 27c | 322$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 25c | 304.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 29c | 274.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 17c | 210.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 15c | 169.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 148.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 141.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 25c | 91.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 72c | 59.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.