Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd3cb5807374f9598a237526322168104c52401a89e0a3aff1c38ecc84870bf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 15,704$6,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,952.26 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.99 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 57c | 4,838$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.22 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 1,631$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.25 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 46c | 1,262$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.85 | 198 | 39.9%79 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 1,015$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.52 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 607.5$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 435.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.78 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 406.94$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 120 | 59.2%71 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 22c | 404.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 64c | 391$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.43 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 374.72$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 290$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 227.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 221.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 220.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 216.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 198$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.27per pick | 31cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 187.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 172.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 137$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 137$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…8645backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 98.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 64c | 93.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 88.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 56c | 84.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 80.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 76.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 73.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 55.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 49c | 55.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 59c | 35.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 28.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9ca5backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 26.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…e30fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 25.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 23.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 20.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.