Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf67a2530ee7326aff385b735c81220e97aa2d43360f0de40e9f4bc6e3974776e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 61c | 767.69$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 40c | 714.72$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.62 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 54c | 670.2$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.58 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 662.7$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.76 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Under | 53c | 637.53$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.64 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Over | 60c | 524.76$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.36 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Over | 62c | 501.25$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.75 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Under | 58c | 484.57$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Under | 63c | 463.95$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 36c | 399.66$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.67 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 39c | 390.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.47 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 59c | 351.83$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.58 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Under | 39c | 260.43$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.73 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…6424backed Under | 44c | 259.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…4043backed Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Over | 46c | 251.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 251$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 42c | 177.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 162 | 38.9%63 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Over | 32c | 173$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Under | 41c | 138.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Over | 63c | 117.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 56c | 105.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…c27ebacked Over | 56c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Under | 37c | 85.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 40c | 81.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 37c | 77.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…e4f0backed Over | 63c | 74.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 76c | 71.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…669ebacked Under | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…d52fbacked Under | 41c | 57.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…8780backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…0890backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…9a9bbacked Over | 61c | 48.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…fed6backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…332bbacked Under | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Over | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 33.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9ca5backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 447 | 38%170 W · 277 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 60c | 19.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.