Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dfb60f08a58e19d5404d32eeada693ae748729a30c1fd004a3d595e1251dcf1

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,726 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	45c	2,460$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.99	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes	14c	1,536$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.39	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	+10.9wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+150.8%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe5f5…9c9cbacked Yes	27c	1,073$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	53c	1,058$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.41	106	34%36 W · 70 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe234…304abacked Yes	51c	1,000$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.83	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	48c	965.99$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.27	163	25.8%42 W · 121 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes	42c	959.31$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.72	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes	48c	922.57$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.47	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	20c	857.95$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.21	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ea…7a3dbacked No	58c	746.44$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.17	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+3.9wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No	60c	654.32$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.65	155	22.6%35 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	63c	644.16$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.02	209	39.2%82 W · 127 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	58c	503.08$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.69	173	52.6%91 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.61	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44b7…2e99backed Yes	53c	495.91$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.19	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked No	73c	491.9$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.21	255	36.5%93 W · 162 L	+19.1wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+69.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	66c	433.31$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes	10c	429.85$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.64	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	32c	403.6$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.66	169	45%76 W · 93 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed No	79c	398.1$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.27	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	60c	392.95$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.83	122	38.5%47 W · 75 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	68c	337$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.2	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	58c	315$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.08	203	42.4%86 W · 117 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	65c	265.22$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.86	364	40.1%146 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	40c	250$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.04	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77f7…db24backed No	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x686d…1a68backed Yes	13c	246.89$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+7.4wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	74c	232.1$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.1	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	63c	203.04$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.07	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e6…9767backed Yes	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.47	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	34c	179$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.29	543	12%65 W · 478 L	-16.9wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Yes	53c	178.7$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.71	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	21c	169.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.95	354	34.7%123 W · 231 L	-13.2wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-34%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	31c	150.48$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.53	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No	65c	150$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.8	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17d…59aebacked Yes	26c	150$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.35	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	69c	141.36$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.16	135	51.1%69 W · 66 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7039…4a7dbacked No	69c	140.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.15	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes	15c	140$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.53	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f2…8798backed No	67c	136.16$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.37	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	73cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	60c	135$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.13	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	21c	135$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.35	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf057…ab54backed Yes	31c	134.91$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.05	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No	69c	130.26$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.97	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	78c	128.98$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.43	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	27c	120$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	142	31%44 W · 98 L	-10.0wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed No	76c	111.3$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.71	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba3…8d5fbacked Yes	21c	103.38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb6…671dbacked Yes	48c	102.5$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.84	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	28c	102$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.05	204	4.9%10 W · 194 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.57	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	40c	91.64$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.77	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	19c	91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	184	29.9%55 W · 129 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes	13c	91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+4.3wins	+0.18per pick	41cpaid	+78.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No	76c	90.9$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.82	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No	70c	90$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.27	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab9…a08dbacked No	54c	89.8$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.42	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes	33c	88.7$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.12	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	22c	85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	81	28.4%23 W · 58 L	-8.4wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed No	70c	80.91$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.09	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	69c	80$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.73	490	36.7%180 W · 310 L	-35.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No	79c	80$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-4.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	68c	70$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed No	74c	70$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.55	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	18c	58$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	44c	57.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.44	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-6.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf22e…18f2backed Yes	53c	50.59$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc624…ee24backed Yes	30c	50.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed No	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34db…2e01backed No	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa935…e865backed No	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53f8…f76ebacked No	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea41…1c98backed Yes	47c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde88…144cbacked Yes	31c	49.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.29	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x355d…1052backed No	79c	49.32$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.36	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13bb…c279backed Yes	34c	47.36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Yes	46c	47$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.67	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b6…6c51backed No	79c	46.04$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.67	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e5…d09cbacked No	79c	45.75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.61	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4030…59c5backed No	79c	45.22$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1b…8883backed Yes	45c	44.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	67c	43.68$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.23	171	32.2%55 W · 116 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes	45c	40.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.87	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	60cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5705…4652backed No	76c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d3…e307backed Yes	31c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff1…1be9backed No	70c	30.6$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.33	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	75cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked No	70c	30.51$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.11	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a8…7d37backed Yes	48c	30.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	62c	30.02$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	77c	29.38$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.64	102	78.4%80 W · 22 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	75cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdd…4648backed No	69c	27.48$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.44	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b13…f125backed Yes	53c	26.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed No	56c	24.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.74	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.82	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	68cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c90…17efbacked No	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.65	133	48.9%65 W · 68 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?this page
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No won
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?No won
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No won
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?Yes won
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?No won
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No won
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No won
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event