Earnings · resolved market
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a06e33e81a79256cc5154cffc07cf3604b48fd33db895dc78a7a08b9e0836a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 42c | 3,095$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.17 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 550.02$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…8bc6backed Yes | 58c | 521.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.65 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…9cf1backed Yes | 58c | 346.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 18c | 304.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 63c | 295$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 53c | 260$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 256.69$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…678cbacked Yes | 34c | 240$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 233.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 62c | 225$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 62c | 224$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…e458backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 30c | 194.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 21c | 186.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 65c | 142.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Yes | 55c | 99.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 91.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…c6bbbacked No | 50c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…9633backed Yes | 26c | 55.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…09d5backed No | 73c | 44.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 32c | 43.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3546backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…cd6abacked No | 75c | 29.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ea…5843backed No | 61c | 27.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…fa42backed No | 75c | 26.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fa…b925backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 48c | 24.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…95ebbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6f…2441backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…5e45backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…ddd3backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2c17backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…b31ebacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…d288backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…8eaabacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…be1ebacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.