Lol · resolved market
Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd3ce471d984e6691c05d06780e5887069116d9ac01e00405492df5efb3bb29d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x515e…8309backed Yes | 78c | 3,963$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 24c | 900.9$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.22 | 245 | 43.3%106 W · 139 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 53c | 672.47$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.49 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 25c | 541.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 13c | 430$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 78c | 423.89$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 11c | 356.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 13c | 305.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 69c | 290.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 22c | 236.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6514…3e5bbacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 7c | 199.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 11c | 170.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 161.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…6bb0backed No | 34c | 153.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 47c | 139$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed No | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 323 | 45.5%147 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 19c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 14c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…da84backed Yes | 70c | 69.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 21c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…0fb8backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…d3fbbacked No | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…336cbacked No | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1049…8cc3backed Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…c3c1backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagethis page
- Will LCS (North America) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout StageNo won
- Will LEC (Europe / EMEA) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout StageNo won
- Will LPL (China) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout StageNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.