Lol · resolved market
Will LPL (China) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8f4ba5f703a5d0b95a159929af8da6e7b6dfaac9ca91cab0c62b1be1744e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x515e…8309backed No | 77c | 12,818$9,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996a…e3ccbacked Yes | 23c | 9,538$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 16c | 3,407$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.72 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 23c | 3,284$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.63 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 69c | 1,027$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.59 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed Yes | 25c | 975.2$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Yes | 13c | 623.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 26c | 474$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Yes | 18c | 334.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 29c | 163.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…8a6abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 27.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 54c | 22.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LPL (China) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagethis page
- Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout StageYes won
- Will LCS (North America) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout StageNo won
- Will LEC (Europe / EMEA) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout StageNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.