TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67af…61eebacked Yes38c220.04$83 inWon+$137.2818446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed No70c194.82$136 inLost-$135.8612057.5%69 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes20c169.99$34 inWon+$135.9923319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes59c129.76$77 inWon+$53.218429.8%25 W · 59 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2267…3355backed No69c108.04$75 inLost-$74.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No80c99.99$80 inLost-$79.993534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb20…40a6backed No78c80$62 inLost-$62.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Yes24c50$12 inWon+$382623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes31c38.04$12 inWon+$26.251181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+66.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No79c38$30 inLost-$30.0210546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc5…c64dbacked No34c36$12 inLost-$12.1210268.6%70 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No77c22.11$17 inLost-$17.029742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No79c21$17 inLost-$16.591656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No79c21$17 inLost-$16.596746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No80c20$16 inLost-$165650%28 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No80c20$16 inLost-$162744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No80c20$16 inLost-$16742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No80c20$16 inLost-$164323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No79c20$16 inLost-$15.83050%15 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed No80c20$16 inLost-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No80c20$16 inLost-$16850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb58…ccd0backed No79c20$16 inLost-$15.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No72c19$14 inLost-$13.6822546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.