TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,114 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes48c2,920$1,403 inWon+$1,517.112638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+78.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No56c1,338$749 inLost-$748.519554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No55c1,070$585 inLost-$585.3913739.4%54 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f73…bb9ebacked No68c966.6$661 inLost-$660.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes40c600$239 inWon+$3611729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed No57c524$298 inLost-$297.612057.5%69 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed No57c491.9$280 inLost-$279.673046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No49c466.05$229 inLost-$229.128429.8%25 W · 59 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes45c366.52$166 inWon+$201.0218446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon+$233.331241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes29c310.96$90 inWon+$220.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf278…d787backed Yes43c253.03$109 inWon+$143.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a6c…f3eabacked No57c217.27$123 inLost-$122.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes39c212.2$82 inWon+$129.94379.1%34 W · 9 L+8.6wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+42.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No61c202.22$124 inLost-$124.229742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No56c199.99$112 inLost-$111.994035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No54c180$97 inLost-$97.24436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No57c148.25$84 inLost-$84.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No21c105$22 inLost-$22.051060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+61%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4840…be60backed Yes29c103.45$30 inWon+$73.451118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-53.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes43c103$44 inWon+$58.716746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed No54c100$54 inLost-$542626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5102…7b08backed Yes37c100$37 inWon+$63862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9f…65ffbacked Yes61c48.67$30 inWon+$18.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e63…bdbdbacked Yes48c31.25$15 inWon+$16.25560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No56c30$17 inLost-$16.85540%22 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.