Earnings · resolved market
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda94681de9edc0649c6f248ada1463aec1a3c6f44b5d26693fc27e2d6c473ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 54c | 5,449$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.16 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 76c | 4,228$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.04 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…b115backed Yes | 78c | 3,475$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 13c | 2,730$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9114…3568backed Yes | 12c | 2,450$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed No | 21c | 2,106$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…1623backed Yes | 29c | 2,102$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…4277backed Yes | 46c | 1,725$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…c4d1backed Yes | 35c | 1,199$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,189$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…49cbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,166$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 26c | 1,098$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed Yes | 33c | 759.41$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 47c | 599.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.6 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 16c | 507.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 374.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…1cabbacked Yes | 62c | 321.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 63c | 285$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.67 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 18c | 259.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 16c | 242.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed Yes | 31c | 221.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 221$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 35c | 214$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 173.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 19c | 166.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 12c | 156.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…43a7backed Yes | 19c | 140.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 14c | 136.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 118$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc3…d8e9backed Yes | 15c | 109.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 64.1%109 W · 61 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 14c | 95.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 67c | 95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…3827backed Yes | 34c | 93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 37c | 80.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…bd2cbacked No | 66c | 75.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…30a3backed No | 55c | 62.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 60c | 62.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e17fbacked Yes | 79c | 62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2084…e384backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 67c | 36.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…71f1backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…8eaabacked No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…32babacked No | 44c | 27.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 75c | 17.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 69c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…9a67backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.