Earnings · resolved market
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd9960f9dbca394a2a8131f0f1a1fcbf2d8fd349b65b4e6b8be9aaf63ea62837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,309$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.48 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 74c | 423$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 15c | 311.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…537dbacked Yes | 75c | 268.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 25c | 260.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…3827backed No | 22c | 159.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 65c | 143.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…678cbacked No | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 57c | 101.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…12adbacked Yes | 74c | 66.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 19c | 66.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…9aeabacked No | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 32c | 61.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 34c | 45.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…864bbacked No | 41c | 29.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…512dbacked No | 37c | 26.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 71c | 25.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…28f3backed Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed No | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…5bc9backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.