Valorant · resolved market
Something to have the most kills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x927ebc654eb32b86895673de43df8c33abaa62195db1e38af39fb48758df83a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 40c | 116.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Yes | 37c | 92.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Yes | 36c | 65.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 62c | 50.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 33c | 37.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 64c | 36.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…d6d2backed No | 64c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2d…c880backed Yes | 69c | 17.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Something to have the most killsthis page
- D4v41 to have the most killsNo won
- F0rsaken to have the most killsNo won
- Jinggg to have the most killsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.