Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cde2be300ac9b5f10d8b6ed89bf4ab5328852ecd34958ba002b719d293a7627

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,558 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0f21…3d6ebacked No	10c	1,890$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.33	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	16c	1,496$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.33	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	20c	1,351$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.37	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes	80c	1,333$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.14	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9248…6955backed No	20c	1,184$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	26c	1,018$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.8	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	74c	686.61$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.16	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6094…d9b1backed No	22c	598.98$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed No	51c	547.47$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.06	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	55c	541.13$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes	49c	500$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	6c	487$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.22	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	11c	441$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.81	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No	51c	436$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.36	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	6c	315$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes	45c	300$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x186c…11cebacked No	19c	295$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.05	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+70.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	49c	254.02$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.69	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ebb…9924backed Yes	53c	247.7$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.81	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes	48c	240.31$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.96	168	47%79 W · 89 L	-11.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	18c	214$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99e…1b8dbacked Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	47c	207.89$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.16	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5933…ecb7backed Yes	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	130	35.4%46 W · 84 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	46c	175.99$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.83	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked No	17c	170.45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	172	17.4%30 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	47c	165$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.74	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed No	19c	114$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	56c	109$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.86	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	47c	103.3$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.36	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	57c	100.38$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.55	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	48c	97.72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.01	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	19c	90$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	37c	89.71$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.29	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	42c	86.25$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.03	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes	50c	70.48$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.19	157	47.8%75 W · 82 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	43c	67.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	18c	65.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d9e…4cf7backed Yes	78c	64.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No	19c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	47c	54.44$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.85	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	79c	53.71$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.13	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed No	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4660…ac6dbacked Yes	51c	47.4$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	41c	43.47$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	47c	43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x023d…3431backed No	59c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef65…5423backed Yes	79c	37.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d3…bad4backed Yes	40c	26.25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.75	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4bc…f7b0backed No	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	47c	24.62$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.05	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6e…26cfbacked No	52c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No	53c	22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed No	61c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x38a6…9110backed No	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	80c	18.34$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.67	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina win the World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event