World Politics · resolved market
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x377002682d566ea782c80c1611e093b912f803377d6dbabe2c78ab1d515beff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 18c | 4,112$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.05 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 28c | 1,197$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.83 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…4acbbacked Yes | 37c | 992.35$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 59c | 841.42$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.06 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked No | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 61c | 699.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…972abacked No | 73c | 648.43$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 78c | 550$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db4…68eebacked Yes | 32c | 466.55$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…c363backed Yes | 36c | 461.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 66c | 437.35$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 69c | 388.82$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked No | 67c | 273.3$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 64c | 271$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…f2b8backed Yes | 39c | 256.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 238.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 72c | 232$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…0432backed Yes | 39c | 219.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 38c | 216.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 179$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 70c | 177.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…317fbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…2f88backed No | 67c | 146.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +317.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…ecd9backed No | 68c | 143$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes | 30c | 140.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 26c | 132.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab57…e05fbacked Yes | 33c | 131.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 126.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 32c | 126.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 118.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…b31dbacked No | 68c | 106.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…719abacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 65c | 98.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 74c | 95.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 26c | 92.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…679ebacked No | 66c | 92.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…9200backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32b…f35cbacked No | 65c | 76.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 75c | 64.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Yes | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 59.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…1d5cbacked No | 67c | 58.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b6…bc74backed No | 70c | 54.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 68c | 50.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 33c | 49.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9a82…abeabacked No | 63c | 44.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 73c | 43.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 43.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 38c | 42.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…8147backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…ece8backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 78c | 39.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 70c | 39.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked No | 65c | 36.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…38e8backed Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88dd…c02dbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 65c | 30.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4d…2173backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 64c | 29.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 69c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 70c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 69c | 25.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 23.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 61c | 23.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 58c | 22.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 69c | 21.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 71c | 20.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 65c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…1d98backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5a…3b9cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…f6c9backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…6ce0backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…2175backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb884…19c1backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92a…a4d8backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 72c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?this page
- Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?No won
- Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?Yes won
- Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?No won
- Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?No won
- Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?No won
- Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.