TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,989 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9337…a410backed Yes1c8,004$46 inLost-$45.811811.9%14 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes1c6,096$47 inLost-$47.422,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes1c4,718$63 inLost-$63.15442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-96.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes6c4,609$271 inLost-$271.317413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65d9…8608backed Yes3c3,180$110 inLost-$109.892010%2 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick4cpaid-66.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb235…3bc4backed Yes1c2,073$25 inLost-$25.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0404…8353backed Yes6c1,399$89 inLost-$88.97120%0 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c1,352$28 inLost-$27.746098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost-$505062%31 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa154…321cbacked Yes6c948.78$59 inLost-$58.822222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b1…f224backed Yes2c877.26$21 inLost-$20.7960%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c857.15$13 inLost-$12.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes8c801.17$64 inLost-$64.0936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd311…61b4backed Yes1c711.57$10 inLost-$10.494825%12 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+110.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes7c557.69$38 inLost-$37.8610326.2%27 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes4c504.84$20 inLost-$20.1946464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed Yes5c417.54$20 inLost-$19.555527.3%15 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes5c400$20 inLost-$202,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes4c303.42$11 inLost-$11.4814839.2%58 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.