TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$511,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$593,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,803 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa47a…fd11backed 76ers25c59,466$15,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,031.425261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers74c41,328$30,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6641,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Pacers78c30,666$23,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,698.1522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed 76ers12c30,574$3,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,637.228241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers24c16,479$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,945.393,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers17c14,000$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3151,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked 76ers18c10,775$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed 76ers13c10,107$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.8820238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed 76ers13c9,417$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.188129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed 76ers10c8,806$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.3337627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…f65cbacked 76ers11c8,259$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.491233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 76ers47c7,597$3,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.3449849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed 76ers13c6,633$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.9861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked 76ers14c6,286$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.0315741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked 76ers14c5,334$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.0645743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked 76ers0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed 76ers23c4,458$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.234532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked 76ers12c3,650$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.6518354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers3c3,475$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.458783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed 76ers8c3,400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26015341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 76ers13c2,784$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.761,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked 76ers9c2,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22511019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers16c2,431$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9840627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed 76ers6c2,356$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b05…7535backed Pacers78c2,108$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Pacers71c2,100$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.757851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed 76ers6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked 76ers16c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.974330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd944…db97backed 76ers16c1,800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed 76ers13c1,715$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.939836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked 76ers12c1,529$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.476346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed 76ers7c1,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked 76ers19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28530826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed 76ers12c1,300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15612040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x352d…ef4bbacked 76ers17c1,300$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked 76ers13c1,133$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed 76ers12c1,092$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13123539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d5…fe48backed 76ers16c1,012$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.641838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed 76ers28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed 76ers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed 76ers13c999.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12850453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked 76ers5c910.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb433…3ad5backed 76ers13c850$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa940…59bebacked 76ers12c766.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked 76ers14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed 76ers13c696$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed 76ers25c665.33$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3321723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6390…5ee8backed 76ers15c646.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.54540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed 76ers25c638.74$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed 76ers12c625$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed 76ers16c601.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.425339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Pacers63c600$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22014041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked 76ers14c587.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8573647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed 76ers14c571.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers3c550$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.331,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dae…cd24backed Pacers66c530$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers24c519.32$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.515,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed 76ers10c506.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5367911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pacers79c506.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2527848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Pacers61c500$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19795848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked 76ers16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed 76ers16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8036423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked 76ers21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed 76ers25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers17c404.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed 76ers13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5211144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed 76ers25c399.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8320553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bba…211fbacked 76ers13c390$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.75843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked 76ers17c380$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked 76ers33c377.45$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3214034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers15c363.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0368642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…0d33backed 76ers14c355.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed 76ers30c350.65$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.227432.4%24 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed 76ers29c346.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked 76ers29c332.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.899827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…bec9backed Pacers68c323.53$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.534862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e7…91b2backed 76ers34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked 76ers16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482714.8%4 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed 76ers17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked 76ers34c287.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7720447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed 76ers19c284$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.884052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed 76ers14c281.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0922733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb040…7a1cbacked 76ers34c270$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed 76ers15c268.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed 76ers37c257$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.239843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked 76ers10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed 76ers14c249.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9915538.1%59 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c9…3464backed 76ers8c242.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203831.6%12 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked 76ers13c232$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9826040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f0…bb27backed 76ers14c221.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pacers80c211.72$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3947229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked 76ers13c208$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8873445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked 76ers18c193.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdba…dd54backed 76ers14c187.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed 76ers20c181.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9511259.8%67 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed 76ers8c178.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed 76ers17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…95eabacked 76ers15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256238.7%24 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.