NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x575c16d0586b289f9cf46553ab883dd5518d493e5442a1e6350255040c4edacb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Magic, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Timberwolves | 57c | 73,434$42,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,321.27 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 41c | 49,338$20,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,364.71 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Magic | 19c | 26,555$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 32c | 22,646$7,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,257.38 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 59c | 14,699$8,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,955.41 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 72c | 11,997$8,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.1 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 21c | 10,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Magic | 47c | 9,976$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.58 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Timberwolves | 73c | 9,000$6,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Magic | 18c | 9,000$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.98 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Magic | 2c | 6,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,718$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.18 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 20c | 4,485$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.14 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Timberwolves | 73c | 4,100$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Magic | 19c | 3,934$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.39 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 24c | 3,071$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.46 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 2c | 2,573$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 40c | 2,332$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.04 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Magic | 12c | 2,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Magic | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 36c | 1,967$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…db6abacked Magic | 18c | 1,697$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Magic | 19c | 1,537$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.95 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Magic | 5c | 1,521$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Magic | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 80c | 1,407$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.91 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 23c | 1,272$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.28 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Magic | 19c | 1,261$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.52 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Magic | 20c | 1,200$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c9…3464backed Magic | 1c | 1,143$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,068$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.86 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Magic | 15c | 1,030$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Magic | 21c | 1,008$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Magic | 18c | 895$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Timberwolves | 80c | 852.95$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.59 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Timberwolves | 41c | 849.22$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.04 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Timberwolves | 80c | 831.45$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Magic | 29c | 815.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Timberwolves | 50c | 792.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves | 32c | 700$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Timberwolves | 77c | 654.66$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.66 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Magic | 31c | 651.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3b5fbacked Magic | 19c | 637.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 79c | 633.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Timberwolves | 67c | 620.44$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…c5d4backed Magic | 20c | 579.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Magic | 26c | 565.51$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…bec9backed Timberwolves | 71c | 530$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 17c | 504.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Magic | 20c | 501$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Magic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Timberwolves | 80c | 495.73$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Magic | 16c | 477.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Magic | 30c | 474.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Magic | 19c | 466.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Magic | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 450$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…e6d4backed Magic | 62c | 447.13$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Magic | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Magic | 19c | 426.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74c…d5a3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 417.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.57 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Timberwolves | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Magic | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…596bbacked Magic | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…9014backed Magic | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 18c | 374.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Timberwolves | 66c | 363.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Magic | 17c | 331.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Magic | 17c | 315$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…c018backed Magic | 16c | 313.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 17c | 309.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…61c1backed Magic | 19c | 307.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Magic | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Timberwolves | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca0…18e2backed Magic | 20c | 281.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…24ddbacked Magic | 18c | 278.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 19c | 267.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Magic | 19c | 250.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Magic | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Magic | 7c | 249.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…3ad5backed Magic | 19c | 247.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Timberwolves | 77c | 224.32$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…a22fbacked Magic | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Timberwolves | 71c | 218$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…00ffbacked Magic | 18c | 211.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Magic | 18c | 204.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Magic | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Magic | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Magic | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Magic | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.