CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs K27 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae2e888fceee6c09e7924c150d8a2ba3115ffcc504f96a2bedb1d0c01231cb0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of ex-RUBY, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,081 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 3,066$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked K27 | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 1,900$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 1,680$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,486$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked K27 | 60c | 1,362$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.31 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked K27 | 53c | 1,110$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.17 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 846.68$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed ex-RUBY | 30c | 657.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 516.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 500$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.54 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed K27 | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 494.43$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked K27 | 80c | 303.12$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 233$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed K27 | 49c | 232.17$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-RUBY | 28c | 229.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed K27 | 48c | 220.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked ex-RUBY | 15c | 194.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked ex-RUBY | 46c | 193$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 180.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 175.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed K27 | 63c | 158.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…c09abacked K27 | 48c | 149.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed K27 | 70c | 142.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 123.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked K27 | 40c | 123.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 120.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 117$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 112$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked K27 | 64c | 104.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 98.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ex-RUBY | 20c | 81.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked K27 | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…61bebacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked K27 | 64c | 77.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked K27 | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed K27 | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed K27 | 72c | 60.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed K27 | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked K27 | 38c | 50.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed K27 | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ex-RUBY | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 47.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 47.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked ex-RUBY | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…0154backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 41.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 40.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed K27 | 48c | 36.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 34.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked K27 | 48c | 31.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked K27 | 47c | 31.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c2…8be8backed K27 | 49c | 30.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked K27 | 47c | 28.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked K27 | 72c | 27.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked K27 | 38c | 26.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked K27 | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked K27 | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 19.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed K27 | 64c | 18.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed K27 | 73c | 18.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked K27 | 69c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…f4d9backed K27 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed K27 | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs K27 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.