Tennis · resolved market
Fils vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb272482c1b50bfe78386c457475b3219603ec128254673d1b31ee248a8607c46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,686 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 937.33$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.04 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 58c | 586.29$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,132 | 42.8%485 W · 647 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 58c | 514.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 58c | 431$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 295.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 42c | 244.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.58 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…20c0backed Over | 58c | 119.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 50c | 108.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1,384 | 16.5%228 W · 1,156 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 104.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 69.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 50c | 63.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 978 | 44.6%436 W · 542 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 32.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Under | 42c | 23.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…f4d9backed Over | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fils vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Arthur Fils vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Fils vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Fils vs. Zverev: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Fils vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.