Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Juan Carlos Prado vs Tomas Barrios
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x766f1dc0a7d43737c5f3b1c7e0982a8fdbda1227b73fb4b42a578dcedd1c43d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomas Barriosof Juan Carlos Prado, Tomas Barrios
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Carlos Prado | 4c | 15,819$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Juan Carlos Prado | 24c | 8,438$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 9c | 7,973$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.73 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tomas Barrios | 76c | 5,164$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 4,889$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 43c | 2,882$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Tomas Barrios | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Tomas Barrios | 58c | 952.98$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.25 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tomas Barrios | 57c | 820.81$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.15 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked Tomas Barrios | 58c | 339.66$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 24c | 275.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Tomas Barrios | 57c | 186$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Tomas Barrios | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Juan Carlos Prado | 20c | 149.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Tomas Barrios | 76c | 138.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…ad06backed Juan Carlos Prado | 35c | 137.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…2542backed Tomas Barrios | 54c | 120.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Tomas Barrios | 78c | 78.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 75.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tomas Barrios | 80c | 74.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Juan Carlos Prado | 16c | 66.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Juan Carlos Prado | 39c | 64.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Tomas Barrios | 65c | 61.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…da60backed Juan Carlos Prado | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tomas Barrios | 79c | 57.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Tomas Barrios | 59c | 53.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Tomas Barrios | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 41c | 49.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tomas Barrios | 71c | 43.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Juan Carlos Prado | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…fc38backed Juan Carlos Prado | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Tomas Barrios | 78c | 36.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Juan Carlos Prado | 32c | 34.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Tomas Barrios | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Tomas Barrios | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Juan Carlos Prado | 39c | 28.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Tomas Barrios | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Tomas Barrios | 56c | 25.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Juan Carlos Prado | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Juan Carlos Prado | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…ec54backed Juan Carlos Prado | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Tomas Barrios | 56c | 22.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Tomas Barrios | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Tomas Barrios | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 103 | 95.1%98 W · 5 L | +25.4wins | +0.25per pick | 70cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Tomas Barrios | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed Tomas Barrios | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Tomas Barrios | 58c | 17.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.