Champions League · resolved market
PSG vs. Atlético Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5538aa26dd1fc5ef8b723fcf0941ee0416da6c7697b0333ddfcd8a9570d7b5db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 46c | 1,184$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.48 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 62c | 993.86$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.01 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed No | 46c | 662.1$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…ca5fbacked No | 18c | 604.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 57c | 528.89$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed No | 42c | 509.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.85 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…6e4ebacked Yes | 66c | 419.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 53c | 391.37$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.95 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 43c | 359$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 59c | 294.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 45c | 243.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed No | 42c | 240.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…811abacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 46c | 198.08$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 55c | 190$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…f3c8backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…3b9ebacked Yes | 55c | 171.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 48c | 164.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 54c | 125.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 46c | 109.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…c284backed No | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…2ab2backed Yes | 56c | 89.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 51c | 78.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Yes | 54c | 68.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…9bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 43c | 40.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…6383backed No | 30c | 37.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 57c | 20.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.