Movies · resolved market
Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75–79?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6cfcca82c3d058879b38e8210b55a4bab0fb6f028f9f579f313148dfb1203d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 5c | 1,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 11c | 1,431$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.25 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Yes | 46c | 1,146$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.43 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 35c | 589.04$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 10c | 522.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 14c | 288.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…b48cbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 36c | 189.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 128.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 53c | 95.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 47c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75–79?this page
- Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?No won
- Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70–74?No won
- Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–84?No won
- Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85–89?Yes won
- Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 70?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.